Hodjanernes Blog

13 december 2009

Lav din egen hockeystav

Filed under: Evidens, FN, Greenies, Hodja, Videnskab — Tags: , , , , , — Hodja @ 22:12

Long story, but I do know a little bit about statistical data modeling — the principal approach used by the main cast of characters in Climategate — and have a decent understanding of their basic research paradigm.

The goal here is to share that understanding with interested laypeople. I’m also a big believer in learning by doing; if you really want to know how a carburetor works, nothing beats taking one apart and rebuilding it. That same rule applies to climate models. And so I decided to put together this simple step-by-step rebuilder’s manual.  

Regardless of what side you’ve chosen in the climate debate (I’m not going to pretend that I’m anything but a crazed pro-carbon extremist) I hope this will give you a nuts-and-bolts understanding of what climate modeling is about, as well as give some context to the Climategate emails.

Got 30 to 60 minutes, a modest amount of math and computer skills, and curiosity? Read on.